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Determining Investment Ratio (2) - Martingale

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Martingale betting is a method of betting twice the original bet when you lose. If you bet 1 won and win, you get 1 won. If you lose, you bet 2 won, which is twice the amount of 1 won. If you lose again here, your loss will be 3 won. So, if you win by betting 4 won, which is twice the amount of the previous game, your principal will be recovered and a profit of 1 won will be generated from the initial bet.

Unless the probability of winning is 0%, even if you continue to lose, if you win just once, you will recover your principal and generate additional profits at the same time. At first glance, it seems like an invincible betting method, but there are conditions.

1. The formula is 2^n-1 + x. In other words, every time you lose, you have to bet twice the amount of the previous game. When you start the game with 100 won, you lose 4 times and when you start the 5th game, the betting amount becomes 1,600 won. When investing in the financial market, fees are incurred. If you bet with the commission included, the amount becomes larger.
2. The rate of return is very low. When you win, only the initial bet amount generates profit, so if the initial bet amount is low, the rate of return decreases and it takes a lot of time.

In summary, the Martingale technique can be seen as an invincible betting method as long as you have a lot of capital, time, and patience.

 

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